Identification of Target Baseline Data

Identification of Target Baseline Data: Responding to [Anticipated] Positive Impacts

As a major source of regional economic investment, local stakeholders expect the communities near to the client to garner significant positive change from the Project. Some common expectations of a regional extractive industries investment project are:

Although not all local expectations will be merited by the actual project plans and commitments, the client will invest in economic and social development initiatives in local communities as part of both contractual agreements with the Government of Indonesia as well as in line with a project commitment to sustainable development. Client regional and local investment is expected to contribute to increased links between local, regional, national, and even international economies. Community members throughout the region, and especially those communities near to the project LSB, are likely to realize increased accessibility and availability of goods and services and deepening economic integration. Local government authorities are likely to realize increased political power as well as increased responsibility for providing and maintaining adequate social services (health, education, waste management, electricity, water supplies, telecommunications, road systems, etc.).

To adequately monitor how the project is benefiting local community stakeholders and achieving its self-defined sustainable investment targets, the project will collect data for cross-section of indicators of potential direct and indirect impacts. To effectively measure project performance, these indicators will need to be monitored and evaluated over time.

Identification of Target Baseline Data: Responding to [Potential] Negative Impacts

Potential impacts associated with the client will most likely be indirect--resulting especially from potential in-migration of 'opportunity seekers' into local communities near to the LSB base.

Potential impacts to local infrastructure, services and utilities deriving from project-induced in-migration include:

Consequent negative (indirect) impacts of the client to local economies, livelihood strategies of affected communities, and health contexts might thus be:

Example indicators that the project is inducing negative impacts on local communities:

Identification of Target Baseline Data: Accounting and Evaluating for Project-Induced Change

It is also important to bear in mind that the ramifications of project-induced impacts to local communities are rarely clear in advance. It is therefore important to measure socio-economic changes that may have either 'positive' and 'negative' ramifications for project-affected people and communities. For example, consider the potential for the following changes to have both positive and negative ramifications for different stakeholder groups and population sub-sets:

A comprehensive and robust baseline survey framework must therefore take into account the need to monitor a variety of socio-economic contexts in order to anticipate and evaluate the potential for unintended direct and indirect impacts.